Sign up to receive our personalized investment offer.

Global Equities

7.1% profit on Walt Disney Company in our downside view

Walt Disney Co EXIT

Appaloosa LP Cuts Share Stake In Disney. 

Walt Disney Co All Sessions 20210217 19.58

Our information/charts are NOT buy/sell recommendations. Are strictly provided for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk and analysis.
Contact our advisors through website chat 24/7.

 

5.4% profit on Zoom Communication in our downside view

Zoom Video Communications InEXIT

Zoom Says Investigating Issues With Streaming Zoom Meetings And Webinars.

Zoom Video Communications Inc All Sessions 20210324 15.33

Our information/charts are NOT buy/sell recommendations. Are strictly provided for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk and analysis.
Contact our advisors through website chat 24/7.

 

4.2% profit pn Eli Lilly in our upside view

Eli Lilly Co EXIT

Eli Lilly And MiNA Therapeutics Announce saRNA Research Collaboration.

Eli Lilly Co 20210409 16.44

Our information/charts are NOT buy/sell recommendations. Are strictly provided for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk and analysis.
Contact our advisors through website chat 24/7.

 

4.06% profit on Carrefour SA in our upside view

Carrefour SA exitCarrefour SA 20210420 16.35

Our information/charts are NOT buy/sell recommendations. Are strictly provided for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk and analysis.
Contact our advisors through website chat 24/7.

Off-Price Retail Is Fully Priced

Despite their gravity-defying sales track record, the holidays were a reminder of just how much off-price retailers’ fates are tied to physical stores. The good news is that restrictions are becoming less likely as vaccination efforts get under way. For the full year, both retailers saw their total revenue decline more than 20%, which isn’t terrible considering that neither have significant online sales. Net income declined more dramatically, by at least 95% for both. Still, both managed to stay profitable overall for the year. The long-term picture for off-price retailers undoubtedly looks good; they have a track record of performing well during and after economic downturns. While the S&P 500 lost more than 14% of its value from December 2007 to December 2010, TJX and Ross Stores gained 55% and 147%, respectively. Both have been steadily gaining market share from department stores and intend to do more of that this year by continuing to open new stores.

Screenshot 840

Customers are much more comfortable shopping online and directly from brands now than they were before the pandemic.  

6.2% profit on Ford Company in our downside view

Ford Motor EXIT

Ford warns chip shortage to halve Q2 production.

Ford Motor Co All Sessions 20210326 15.37

Our information/charts are NOT buy/sell recommendations. Are strictly provided for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk and analysis.
Contact our advisors through website chat 24/7.

19% profit on Beyond Meat in our downside view

Beyond Meat Inc EXIT

California Court Rules Beyond Meat Must Pay Don Lee Farms in Contract Dispute – Property Claim and Negligent Misrepresentation Counterclaim Also Found Meritless The Superior Court of California has ruled Beyond Meat must pay Don Lee Farms in their contract dispute.

Beyond Meat Inc All Sessions 20210426 19.27

Our information/charts are NOT buy/sell recommendations. Are strictly provided for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk and analysis.
Contact our advisors through website chat 24/7.

 

Bond-Market Tumult Puts ‘Lower for Longer’ in the Crosshairs

A series of Federal Reserve officials have said the climb is a healthy one, reflecting investors’ improving expectations for a vaccine- and stimulus-fueled economic recovery. Many portfolio managers say they believe rates are likely to flatten out in coming days as yields finally reach what they see as attractive levels.

But there are signs, such as unusually soft demand for recent Treasury debt auctions, that selling may not be over and yields may have further to rise. Some traders warn that bond markets are signaling a powerful economic recovery that could upend the dynamics that have held borrowing costs low while powering stocks to records.

The seven-year note was sold at a 1.195% yield, or 0.043 percentage point higher than traders had expected—a record gap for a seven-year note auction, according to Jefferies LLC analysts. Primary dealers, large financial firms that can trade directly with the Fed and are required to bid at auctions, were left with about 40% of the new notes, about twice the recent average.

The tepid demand concerned investors because the government is expected to sell a huge amount of debt in coming months to pay for the stimulus efforts that undergird the recovery. Further poor auction results could fuel additional selling in bond markets and undermine the tone in other markets, such as those for stocks, investors said.

The Fed’s rate cuts during the past year helped fuel a wave of home sales and refinancings, but the recent climb in yields drove mortgage rates to their highest level since November this past week, and applications have dropped. That forces banks and other holders, such as real-estate investment trusts, to sell Treasurys to offset losses in mortgage bonds that happen when consumers stop refinancing.

Screenshot 25

Moves in market-based measures of inflation are also prompting concerns. Rising prices dent the purchasing power of bonds’ fixed payments and could force the Fed to raise rates sooner than expected. While inflation has remained muted for years, usually below the Fed’s 2% target, some worry that the economic reopening and stimulus efforts by the Fed and Congress could spark an acceleration. The five-year break-even rate—a measure of expected annual inflation over the next five years derived from the difference between the yields on five-year Treasurys and the equivalent Treasury inflation-protected securities—hit 2.4% in recent days, the highest since May 2011.

At the same time, the recent uptick in Treasury yields hasn’t only reflected increasing inflation expectations, as was essentially the case earlier in the year. Over the past two weeks, yields on Treasury inflation-protected securities—a proxy for so-called real yields—have also shot upward, with the 10-year TIPS yield rising from roughly minus 1% to minus 0.7%. That move has caught investors’ attention because many credit deeply negative real yields with helping power stocks to records, pushing yield-seeking investors toward riskier assets. Real yields were around zero percent or higher from the middle of 2013 through the start of 2020, meaning they might have more room to rise even after their recent move. 

Screenshot 26

 

8.7% profit on Chvron in our upside view

Chevron Corp CVXexit

Chevron Corp is offering to sell about 73,000 acres (29,540 hectares) of oil and gas properties in New Mexico, according to documents viewed by Reuters, as oil firms accelerate divestitures in a rebounding oil market.

Chevron Corp All Sessions 20210421 18.02

Our information/charts are NOT buy/sell recommendations. Are strictly provided for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk and analysis.
Contact our advisors through website chat 24/7.

19.2% profit on Virgin Galactic in our downside view

Virgin Galactic Holdings EXIT

Virgin Galactic drops after Branson sells shares worth $150 mln.

Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc Ord 20210407 16.34

Our information/charts are NOT buy/sell recommendations. Are strictly provided for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk and analysis.
Contact our advisors through website chat 24/7.

Payments

Social

download follow on googleplus twitter2

Sign up to receive a personalized investment offer.